Brexit will cut net migration to the UK only by 15 percent, says study
Expectations of Theresa May, the British Prime Minister, who hoped that it would be possible to rein in migration to the UK by more than 66 percent after Brexit was in place, are not likely to be fulfilled, a study by Global Future, a think-tank which advocates immigration, reveals. It is said that British employers would need migrant workers anyhow.
Published on 10 February, the report said that enforcement of stringent measures would only reduce migrant numbers by 50,000 from the present figure of net migration of 335,000. This implies that net migration would reduce only 15 percent.
Bloomberg quotes official data as saying that 189,000 was the net migration for the year ending June 2016. Most of these people are reportedly working in enterprises which would hurt if they were barred from hiring workers from abroad. In fact, if the UK tries to restrict migration from within Europe, employers may have to bring in workers from non-EU countries.
Gurnek Bains, Global Future Director, was quoted as saying through an email that though there was a lot of debate about the fallouts of exiting the single market, there was not much discussion about whether putting an end to freedom of movement will improve things as was expected. He added that people need to think that reducing net migration by less than one-sixth was worth the pain they had to undergo of massive economic uncertainty, the decline in the value of the pound, reduced investment from abroad, foregoing unrestricted travel in EU and the probable disintegration of the United Kingdom.